The House model for this year is the same as for 2024. This model held up reasonably well during the last election, and I'm hoping for a repeat this year.
The Democrats are hoping capture President Trump's historically high disapproval ratings to flip the House majority. The Republicans are counting on mid-cycle partisan redistricting to attempt to hold on to a few extra seats. The current polling environment favors the Democrats, but a GOP upset is well within the margin of error.
| Party | Probability | Expected | Rated |
| Democrats | 74.1% | 236.4 | 230 |
| Republicans | 25.9% | 198.6 | 205 |
Popular vote: Democrats +7.2
| Date | Popular Vote |
Probability | Expected | Rated | |||
| DEM | GOP | DEM | GOP | DEM | GOP | ||
| 10/08 | D +7.2 | 74.1% | 25.9% | 236.4 | 198.6 | 230 | 205 |
| 10/02 | D +7.6 | 76.0% | 24.0% | 238.0 | 197.0 | 231 | 204 |
| 09/19 | D +7.9 | 77.0% | 23.0% | 239.4 | 195.6 | 236 | 199 |
| 09/06 | D +5.0 | 58.2% | 41.8% | 227.0 | 208.0 | 224 | 211 |
| 08/15 | D +6.1 | 62.2% | 37.8% | 231.0 | 204.0 | 225 | 210 |
| 230 Democrats | Republicans 205 |
| Candidate | Party |
| Nick Begich | REP |
| Eric Hafner | DEM |
| Bill Hill | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jerry Carl | REP |
| Clyde Jones | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Rhett Marques | REP |
| Shomari Figures | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Rogers | REP |
| Lee McInnis | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Robert Aderholt | REP |
| Amanda Pusczek | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Dale Strong | REP |
| Andrew Sneed | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Gary Palmer | REP |
| Maurice Mercer | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Terri Sewell | DEM |
| Ammie Akin | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Rick Crawford | REP |
| Terri Yarbrough Green | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| French Hill | REP |
| Chris Jones | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Steve Womack | REP |
| Robb Ryerse | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Bruce Westerman | REP |
| James Russell | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Amish Shah | DEM |
| Jay Feely | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Eli Crane | REP |
| Jonathan Nez | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Greg Stanton | DEM |
| Zuhdi Jasser | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mark Lamb | REP |
| Elizabeth Lee | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| JoAnna Mendoza | DEM |
| Juan Ciscomani | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Adelita Grijalva | DEM |
| Daniel Butierez | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Abraham Hamadeh | REP |
| Bernadette Greene-Placentia | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Paul Gosar | REP |
| Danielle Sterbinsky | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike McGuire | DEM |
| James Gallagher | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jared Huffman | DEM |
| Robin Littau | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ami Bera | DEM |
| Robb Tucker | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Eric Jones | DEM |
| Mike Thompson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Michael Masuda | DEM |
| Tom McClintock | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| John Garamendi | DEM |
| Rudy Recile | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Josh Harder | DEM |
| John McBride | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mark DeSaulnier | DEM |
| Jeff Frese | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Adam Gray | DEM |
| Kevin Lincoln | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Kevin Mullin | DEM |
| Charles Hoelter | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sam Liccardo | DEM |
| Peter Sundin Soule | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ro Khanna | DEM |
| Ritesh Tandon | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Zoe Lofgren | DEM |
| Shane Lewis | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jimmy Panetta | DEM |
| Peter Verbica | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Vince Fong | REP |
| Sandra Van Scotter | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jim Costa | DEM |
| Kyle Kirkland | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| David Valadao | REP |
| Randy Villegas | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jay Obernolte | REP |
| Tessa Lynn Hodge | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Salud Carbajal | DEM |
| Bob Smith | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Raul Ruiz | DEM |
| Joe Males | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jacqui Irwin | DEM |
| Sam Gallucci | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| George Whitesides | DEM |
| Jason Gibbs | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Judy Chu | DEM |
| April Verlato | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Laura Friedman | DEM |
| Scott Meyers | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Gil Cisneros | DEM |
| Eric Ching | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brad Sherman | DEM |
| Larry Thompson | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Pete Aguilar | DEM |
| Stephanie Vargas | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Norma Torres | DEM |
| Mike Cargile | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ted Lieu | DEM |
| Houston Brignano | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Hilda Solis | DEM |
| Pedro Antonio Casas | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mark Takano | DEM |
| Steve Manos | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Linda Sanchez | DEM |
| Mitch Clemmons | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Robert Garcia | DEM |
| Brian Burley | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Maxine Waters | DEM |
| Cristian Morales | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Nanette Barragan | DEM |
| Genevieve Angel | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Derek Tran | DEM |
| Chuong Vo | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Lou Correa | DEM |
| David Pan | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Dave Min | DEM |
| Jenny Le Roux | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Marni von Wilpert | DEM |
| Jim Desmond | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Levin | DEM |
| Armen Kurdian | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Scott Peters | DEM |
| Steve Cohen | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sara Jacobs | DEM |
| Richardo Cabrera | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Juan Vargas | DEM |
| Jeff Belle | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Melat Kiros | DEM |
| Christy Peterson | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Joe Neguse | DEM |
| Kelley Dennison | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Dwayne Romero | DEM |
| Jeff Hurd | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Lauren Boebert | REP |
| Eileen Laubacher | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jessica Killin | DEM |
| Jeff Crank | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jason Crow | DEM |
| Jason Clark | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brittany Pettersen | DEM |
| Tim Bennett | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Manny Rutinel | DEM |
| Gabe Evans | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Luke Bronin | DEM |
| Amy Chai | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Joe Courtney | DEM |
| George Austin | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Rosa DeLauro | DEM |
| Chris Lancia | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jim Himes | DEM |
| Michael Goldstein | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jahana Hayes | DEM |
| Chris Shea | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sarah McBride | DEM |
| Joseph Arminio | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jimmy Patronis | REP |
| Gay Valimont | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Austin Rogers | REP |
| Amanda Green | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Kat Cammack | REP |
| Seth Harp | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Aaron Bean | REP |
| LaShonda Holloway | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| John Rutherford | REP |
| Rachel Grage | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Randy Fine | REP |
| Eric Yonce | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ryan Elijah | REP |
| Bale Dalton | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Haridopolos | REP |
| Jennifer Jenkins | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Dan Green | REP |
| Darren Soto | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Joe Strada | REP |
| James Pericola | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Gus Bilirakis | REP |
| Kimberly Overman | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Anna Paulina Luna | REP |
| Leela Gray | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Beltran | REP |
| Kathy Castor | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Laurel Lee | REP |
| Robert People | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sydney Gruters | REP |
| Kelly Kirschner | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Greg Steube | REP |
| Matthew Montavon | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Scott Franklin | REP |
| Curtis Gibson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jim Schwartzel | REP |
| Victor Arias | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Debbie Wasserman Schultz | DEM |
| Brent Andersen | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brian Mast | REP |
| James Martin | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Casey Askar | REP |
| Pia Dandiya | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Lois Frankel | DEM |
| Deborah Adeimy | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Oliver Gilbert | DEM |
| Te Mayonna Brown | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Scott Singer | REP |
| Jared Moskowitz | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mario Diaz-Balart | REP |
| Nicole Locklin | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | REP |
| Elliot Rodriguez | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Carlos A. Gimenez | REP |
| Phil Ehr | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jim Kingston | REP |
| Amanda Hollowell | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sanford Bishop | DEM |
| Matt Day | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brian Jack | REP |
| Maura Keller | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Hank Johnson | DEM |
| James Duffie | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Nikema Williams | DEM |
| John Salvesen | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Lucy McBath | DEM |
| Kevin Martin | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Rich McCormick | REP |
| Tony Kozycki | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Austin Scott | REP |
| Kelly Esti | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Andrew Clyde | REP |
| Caitlyn Gegen | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Houston Gaines | REP |
| Pam Delancy | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| John Cowan | REP |
| Chris Harden | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Rick Allen | REP |
| Ceretta Smith | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jasmine Clark | DEM |
| Jonathan Chavez | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Clay Fuller | REP |
| Shawn Harris | DEM |
| Andrew Underwood | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ed Case | DEM |
| Adriel Lam | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jill Tokuda | DEM |
| Brenton Awa | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Christina Bohannan | DEM |
| Mariannette Miller-Meeks | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Joe Mitchell | REP |
| Lindsay James | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sarah Trone Garriott | DEM |
| Zach Nunn | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Chris McGowan | REP |
| David Dawson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Russ Fulcher | REP |
| Kaylee Peterson | DEM |
| Sarah Zabel | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Simpson | REP |
| Ellie Gilbreath | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jonathan Jackson | DEM |
| Christian Maxwell | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Donna Miller | DEM |
| Michael Noack | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Delia Ramirez | DEM |
| Angel Oakley | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Patty Garcia | DEM |
| Lupe Castillo | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Quigley | DEM |
| Tommy Hanson | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sean Casten | DEM |
| Niki Conforti | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| La Shawn Ford | DEM |
| Chad Koppie | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Melissa Bean | DEM |
| Jennifer Davis | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Daniel Biss | DEM |
| John Elleson | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brad Schneider | DEM |
| Carl Lambrecht | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Bill Foster | DEM |
| Jeff Walter | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Bost | REP |
| Julie Fortier | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Nikki Budzinski | DEM |
| Jeff Wilson | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Lauren Underwood | DEM |
| James Marter | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mary Miller | REP |
| Jennifer Todd | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Darin LaHood | REP |
| Paul Nolley | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Eric Sorensen | DEM |
| Dillan Vancil | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Frank Mrvan | DEM |
| Barb Regnitz | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Rudolph Yakym | REP |
| Jamee Decio | DEM |
| William Henry | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Marlin Stutzman | REP |
| Kelly Thompson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jim Baird | REP |
| Drew Cox | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Victoria Spartz | REP |
| J. D. Ford | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jefferson Shreve | REP |
| Cinde Wirth | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Andre Carson | DEM |
| Patrick McAuley | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mark Messmer | REP |
| Mary Allen | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Erin Houchin | REP |
| Brad Meyer | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Tracey Mann | REP |
| Lauren Reinhold | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Derek Schmidt | REP |
| Don Coover | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sharice Davids | DEM |
| Eric Jenkins | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ron Estes | REP |
| Katy Tyndell | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| James Comer | REP |
| Drew Williams | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brett Guthrie | REP |
| Megan Wingfield | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Morgan McGarvey | DEM |
| Maria Rodriquez | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ed Gallrein | REP |
| Melissa Strange | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Hal Rogers | REP |
| Ned Pillersdorf | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ralph Alvarado | REP |
| Zach Dembo | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Steve Scalise | REP |
| Lauren Jewett | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Troy Carter | DEM |
| Peter Williams | REP |
| Lisa Ballay | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Tia LeBrun | DEM |
| John Day | DEM |
| Clay Higgins | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Matt Gromlich | DEM |
| Conrad Cable | DEM |
| Mike Johnson | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Michael Echols | REP |
| Dan McKay | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Blake Miguez | REP |
| Lindsay Garcia | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Lori Trahan | DEM |
| Gary Grossi | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jake Auchincloss | DEM |
| Tom Stalcup | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Dan Koh | DEM |
| Micah Jones | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Stephen Lynch | DEM |
| Robert Burke | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Bill Keating | DEM |
| Tyler MacAllister | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Andy Harris | REP |
| Dan Schwartz | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Johnny Olszewski | DEM |
| Dave Wallace | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sarah Elfreth | DEM |
| Berney Flowers | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Glenn Ivey | DEM |
| George McDermott | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Adrian Boafo | DEM |
| Chris Chaffee | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| April McClain-Delaney | DEM |
| Robin Ficker | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Kweisi Mfume | DEM |
| Scott Collier | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jamie Raskin | DEM |
| Cheryl Riley | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Chellie Pingree | DEM |
| Ronald Russell | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Matthew Dunlap | DEM |
| Paul LePage | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jack Bergman | REP |
| Callie Barr | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| John Moolenaar | REP |
| Ben Ambrose | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Hillary Scholten | DEM |
| Terri DeBoer | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sean McCann | DEM |
| Bill Huizenga | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Tim Walberg | REP |
| Christian Vukasovich | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Debbie Dingell | DEM |
| Heather Smiley | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| William Lawrence | DEM |
| Tom Barrett | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Kristen McDonald Rivet | DEM |
| Tom Smith | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Lisa McClain | REP |
| Ray Pooley | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Christina Hines | DEM |
| Michael Bouchard Jr. | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jeremy Moss | DEM |
| Ethan Baker | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Rashida Tlaib | DEM |
| James Hooper | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Donavan McKinney | DEM |
| T.P. Nykoriak | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brad Finstad | REP |
| Jake Johnson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Matt Little | DEM |
| Eric Pratt | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Kelly Morrison | DEM |
| Tyler Bass | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Betty McCollum | DEM |
| Paul Wikstrom | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ilhan Omar | DEM |
| John Nagel | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Tom Emmer | REP |
| Doug Chapin | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Michelle Fischbach | REP |
| Erik Osberg | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Pete Stauber | REP |
| Trina Swanson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Wesley Bell | DEM |
| Paul Berry | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Fred Wellman | DEM |
| Ann Wagner | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Bob Onder | REP |
| Bethany Mann | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mark Alford | REP |
| Jordan Herrera | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Emanuel Cleaver | DEM |
| Rick Brattin | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Chris Stigall | REP |
| Josh Smead | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Eric Burlison | REP |
| Missi Hesketh | DEM |
| Kevin Craig | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jason Smith | REP |
| Chris Reichard | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Trent Kelly | REP |
| Cliff Johnson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Bennie Thompson | DEM |
| Ron Eller | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Michael Guest | REP |
| Michael Chiaradio | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Ezell | REP |
| Jeffrey Hulum III | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Aaron Flint | REP |
| Sam Forstag | DEM |
| Nick Sheehy | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Troy Downing | REP |
| Brian Miller | DEM |
| Michael Eisenhauer | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Laurie Buckhout | REP |
| Don Davis | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Deborah Ross | DEM |
| Gene Douglass | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Greg Murphy | REP |
| Raymond Smith Jr. | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Valerie Foushee | DEM |
| Max Ganorkar | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Virginia Foxx | REP |
| Chuck Hubbard | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Addison McDowell | REP |
| Cyril Jefferson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| David Rouzer | REP |
| Kim Hardy | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mark Harris | REP |
| Colby Watson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Richard Hudson | REP |
| Richard Ojeda | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Pat Harrigan | REP |
| Ashley Bell | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jamie Ager | DEM |
| Jennifer Balkcom | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Alma Adams | DEM |
| Jack Codiga | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brad Knott | REP |
| Paul Barringer | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Tim Moore | REP |
| LaKesha Womack | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Julie Fedorchak | REP |
| Trygve Hammer | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Flood | REP |
| Chris Backemeyer | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Denise Powell | DEM |
| Brinker Harding | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Adrian Smith | REP |
| Becky Stille | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Stefany Shaheen | DEM |
| Anthony DiLorenzo | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Maggie Goodlander | DEM |
| Lily Tang Williams | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Donald Norcross | DEM |
| Damon Galdo | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jeff Van Drew | REP |
| Zack Mullock | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Herb Conaway | DEM |
| Michael McGuire | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Chris Smith | REP |
| Rachel Peace | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Josh Gottheimer | DEM |
| Sean Kirrane | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Frank Pallone | DEM |
| Hillary Herzig | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Rebecca Bennett | DEM |
| Thomas Kean Jr | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Nellie A. Pou | DEM |
| Rosie Pino | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| LaMonica McIver | DEM |
| Carmen Bucco | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Analilia Mejia | DEM |
| Joe Hathaway | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Adam Hamawy | DEM |
| Gregg Mele | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Melanie Stansbury | DEM |
| Didi Okpareke | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Gabriel Vasquez | DEM |
| Greg Cunningham | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Teresa Leger Fernandez | DEM |
| Martin Zamora | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Dina Titus | DEM |
| Carrie Buck | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| David Flippo | REP |
| Teresa Benitez-Thompson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Susie Lee | DEM |
| Martin O'Donnell | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Steven Horsford | DEM |
| Cody Whipple | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Nick LaLota | REP |
| Chris Gallant | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Andrew Garbarino | REP |
| Patrick Halpin | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Thomas Suozzi | DEM |
| Michael LiPetri | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Laura Gillen | DEM |
| Jeanine Driscoll | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Gregory Meeks | DEM |
| George Marsh | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Grace Meng | DEM |
| Joseph Chou | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Claire Valdez | DEM |
| Melvin Rivera | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Hakeem Jeffries | DEM |
| Lewis Mizrahi | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Yvette Clarke | DEM |
| Joel Anabilah-Azumah | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brad Lander | DEM |
| Jennifer Moore | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Nicole Malliotakis | REP |
| Michael DeCillis | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Micah Lasher | DEM |
| Caroline Shinkle | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Darializa Avila Chevalier | DEM |
| Jomo M. Williams | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | DEM |
| Diamant Hysenaj | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ritchie Torres | DEM |
| Stylo Sapaskis | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| George Latimer | DEM |
| Joseph Cinquemani | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Cait Conley | DEM |
| Mike Lawler | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Pat Ryan | DEM |
| Jacqueline Auringer | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Josh Riley | DEM |
| Peter Oberacker | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Paul Tonko | DEM |
| Ralph Ambrosio | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Anthony Constantino | REP |
| Blake Gendebien | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| John Mannion | DEM |
| Kailee Buller | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Nick Langworthy | REP |
| Aaron Gies | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Claudia Tenney | REP |
| Alissa Ellman | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Joseph Morelle | DEM |
| Virginia McIntyre | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Tim Kennedy | DEM |
| Dennis Hannon | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Greg Landsman | DEM |
| Eric Conroy | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| David Taylor | REP |
| Jennifer Mazzuckelli | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Joyce Beatty | DEM |
| Cleophus Dulaney | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jim Jordan | REP |
| Joshua Kolasinski | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Bob Latta | REP |
| Brian Shaver | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Michael Rulli | REP |
| Elizabeth Kirtley | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Max Miller | REP |
| Brian Poindexter | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Warren Davidson | REP |
| Vanessa Enoch | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Marcy Kaptur | DEM |
| Derek Merrin | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Turner | REP |
| Kristina Knickerbocker | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Shontel Brown | DEM |
| Mike Kirchner | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Troy Balderson | REP |
| Jerrad Christian | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Emilia Sykes | DEM |
| Carey Coleman | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| David Joyce | REP |
| Maria Jukic | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Carey | REP |
| Don Leonard | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mark Tedford | REP |
| John Croisant | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Josh Brecheen | REP |
| Brandon Wade | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Frank Lucas | REP |
| Suzie Byrd | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Tom Cole | REP |
| Mitchell Jacob | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Stephanie Bice | REP |
| Jena Nelson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Suzanne Bonamici | DEM |
| Barbara Kahl | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Cliff Bentz | REP |
| Chris Beck | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Maxine Dexter | DEM |
| Loran Ayles | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Val Hoyle | DEM |
| Monique DeSpain | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Janelle Bynum | DEM |
| Patti Adair | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Andrea Salinas | DEM |
| David Russ | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Bob Harvie | DEM |
| Brian Fitzpatrick | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brendan Boyle | DEM |
| Jessica Arriaga | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Madeleine Dean | DEM |
| Aurora Stuski | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mary Gay Scanlon | DEM |
| Nicholas Manganaro | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Chrissy Houlahan | DEM |
| Marty Young | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Bob Brooks | DEM |
| Ryan Mackenzie | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Paige Cognetti | DEM |
| Rob Bresnahan | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Dan Meuser | REP |
| Rachel Wallace | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Janelle Stelson | DEM |
| Scott Perry | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Lloyd Smucker | REP |
| Nancy Mannion | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Summer Lee | DEM |
| James Hayes | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| John Joyce | REP |
| Beth Farnham | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Guy Reschenthaler | REP |
| Alan Bradstock | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Glenn Thompson | REP |
| Ray Bilger | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Kelly | REP |
| Justin Wagner | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Chris Deluzio | DEM |
| Tony Guy | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Gabe Amo | DEM |
| Kellie Keenan | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Seth M. Magaziner | DEM |
| Victor Mellor | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jenny Costa Honeycutt | REP |
| Nancy Lacore | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Joe Wilson | REP |
| Zyon Khalifa | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sheri Biggs | REP |
| Eunice Lehmacher | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| William Timmons | REP |
| Courtney McClain | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Wes Climer | REP |
| Mallory Dittmer | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jim Clyburn | DEM |
| John Peterson | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Russell Fry | REP |
| John Vincent | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Marty Jackley | REP |
| Nikki Gronli | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Diana Harshbarger | REP |
| Kristi Burke | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Tim Burchett | REP |
| Michaela Barnett | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Chuck Fleischmann | REP |
| Anna Golladay | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Scott DesJarlais | REP |
| Victoria Broderick | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Charlie Hatcher | REP |
| Chaz Molder | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Johnny Garrett | REP |
| Mike Croley | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Matt Van Epps | REP |
| Darden Copeland | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| David Kustoff | REP |
| Heidi Kuhn | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brent Taylor | REP |
| Justin J. Pearson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Nathaniel Moran | REP |
| Yolanda Prince | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Steve Toth | REP |
| Shaun Finnie | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Keith Self | REP |
| Evan Hunt | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Pat Fallon | REP |
| Jason Pearce | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Lance Gooden | REP |
| Chelsey Hockett | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jake Ellzey | REP |
| Danny Minton | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Lizzie Fletcher | DEM |
| Alexander Hale | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jessica Steinmann | REP |
| Laura Jones | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Alex Mealer | REP |
| Leticia Gutierrez | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Chris Gober | REP |
| Caitlin Rourk | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| August Pfluger | REP |
| Claire Reynolds | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Craig Goldman | REP |
| Angela Rodriguez Prilliman | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ronny Jackson | REP |
| Mark Nair | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Randy Weber | REP |
| Thurman Bartie | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Monica De La Cruz | REP |
| Bobby Pulido | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Veronica Escobar | DEM |
| Adam Bauman | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Pete Sessions | REP |
| Casey Shepard | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Christian Menefee | DEM |
| Ronald Whitfield | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Tom Sell | REP |
| Kyle Rable | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Joaquin Castro | DEM |
| Edgardo Baez | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mark Teixeira | REP |
| Kristin Hook | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Troy Nehls | REP |
| Marquette Greene-Scott | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brandon Herrera | REP |
| Katy Padilla Stout | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Beth Van Duyne | REP |
| Kevin Burge | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Roger Williams | REP |
| Dione Sims | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brandon Gill | REP |
| Steven Shook | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Michael Cloud | REP |
| Tanya Lloyd | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Tano Tijerina | REP |
| Henry Cuellar | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sylvia Garcia | DEM |
| Martha Fierro | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Frederick Haynes III | DEM |
| Everett Jackson | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| John Carter | REP |
| Justin Early | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jace Yarbrough | REP |
| Dan Barrios | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Colin Allred | DEM |
| Patrick Gillespie | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Eric Flores | REP |
| Vicente Gonzalez | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Carlos De La Cruz | REP |
| Johnny Garcia | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Brian Babin | REP |
| Rhonda Hart | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Greg Casar | DEM |
| Lauren Pena | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jon Bonck | REP |
| Melissa McDonough | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ben McAdams | DEM |
| Riley Owen | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Blake Moore | REP |
| Peter Crosby | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Celeste Maloy | REP |
| Kent Udell | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mike Kennedy | REP |
| Jonny Larsen | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Shannon Taylor | DEM |
| Rob Wittman | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Elaine Luria | DEM |
| Jen Kiggans | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Robert Scott | DEM |
| Edwin Rivera | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jennifer McClellan | DEM |
| Robert Murray | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| John McGuire | REP |
| Tom Perriello | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ben Cline | REP |
| Beth Macy | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Eugene Vindman | DEM |
| Doug Ollivant | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Don Beyer | DEM |
| Tony Sabio | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Morgan Griffith | REP |
| Joy Powers | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Suhas Subramanyam | DEM |
| Dave Beckwith | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| James Walkinshaw | DEM |
| Arthur Purves | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Becca Balint | DEM |
| Gerald Malloy | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Suzan DelBene | DEM |
| Mary Silva | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Rick Larsen | DEM |
| Edwin H. Feller | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | DEM |
| John Braun | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Amanda McKinney | REP |
| John Duresky | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Michael Baumgartner | REP |
| Carmela Conroy | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Emily Randall | DEM |
| Teresa Fox | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Pramila Jayapal | DEM |
| Nirav Sheth | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Kim Schrier | DEM |
| Spencer Meline | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Adam Smith | DEM |
| Doug Basler | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Marilyn Strickland | DEM |
| Chris D. Chung | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mitchell Berman | DEM |
| Bryan Steil | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Rebecca Cooke | DEM |
| Derrick Van Orden | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Gwen Moore | DEM |
| Tim Rogers | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Scott Fitzgerald | REP |
| Andrew Beck | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Glenn Grothman | REP |
| Brad Smith | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Michael Alfonso | REP |
| Fred Clark | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Tony Wied | REP |
| Rick Crosson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Carol Miller | REP |
| Vince George | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Riley Moore | REP |
| Ace Parsi | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Chuck Gray | REP |
| Lisa Kinney | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Yassamin Ansari | DEM |
| Alan Aversa | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Eric Jones | DEM |
| Mike Thompson | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Doris Matsui | DEM |
| Mai Vang | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Connie Chan | DEM |
| Scott Wiener | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Lateefah Simon | DEM |
| Jamie Joyce | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Melissa Hernandez | DEM |
| Aisha Wahab | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Luz Rivas | DEM |
| Angelica Maria Duenas | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jimmy Gomez | DEM |
| Angela Gonzales-Torres | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove | DEM |
| Samantha Mota | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Young Kim | REP |
| Ken Calvert | REP |
| Candidate | Party |
| Maxwell Frost | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Richard Neal | DEM |
| Nadia Milleron | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Jim McGovern | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Katherine Clark | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Ayanna Pressley | DEM |
| Candidate | Party |
| Rob Menendez | DEM |
| Aristotle Eliopoulos | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Chris Rabb | DEM |
| Dennis Mahoney | LIB |
| Candidate | Party |
| Mark Pocan | DEM |
| District | Margin | Probability | Rating |
| AK-AL | R +1.2 | 55.1% R | Leans R |
| AL-01 | R +25.2 | 99.0% R | Safe R |
| AL-02 | R +4.7 | 73.4% R | Leans R |
| AL-03 | R +36.4 | 99.7% R | Safe R |
| AL-04 | R +53.3 | >99.9% R | Safe R |
| AL-05 | R +19.9 | 98.2% R | Safe R |
| AL-06 | R +22.7 | 98.5% R | Safe R |
| AL-07 | D +22.6 | 98.9% D | Safe D |
| AR-01 | R +35.5 | 99.7% R | Safe R |
| AR-02 | R +6.7 | 80.8% R | Likely R |
| AR-03 | R +15.3 | 96.2% R | Likely R |
| AR-04 | R +31.5 | 99.6% R | Safe R |
| AZ-01 | D +4.7 | 72.9% D | Leans D |
| AZ-02 | R +4.7 | 72.5% R | Leans R |
| AZ-03 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| AZ-04 | D +15.0 | 94.8% D | Likely D |
| AZ-05 | R +10.3 | 90.3% R | Likely R |
| AZ-06 | D +7.5 | 81.2% D | Likely D |
| AZ-07 | D +23.1 | 99.1% D | Safe D |
| AZ-08 | R +5.8 | 75.7% R | Leans R |
| AZ-09 | R +20.8 | 98.3% R | Safe R |
| CA-01 | D +16.0 | 96.4% D | Likely D |
| CA-02 | D +28.8 | 99.6% D | Safe D |
| CA-03 | D +14.2 | 94.9% D | Likely D |
| CA-04 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| CA-04 | R +12.5 | 93.8% R | Likely R |
| CA-05 | D +12.6 | 92.9% D | Likely D |
| CA-07 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| CA-08 | D +35.6 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| CA-09 | D +14.5 | 95.2% D | Likely D |
| CA-10 | D +34.7 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| CA-11 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| CA-12 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| CA-13 | D +4.0 | 71.6% D | Leans D |
| CA-14 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| CA-15 | D +44.9 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| CA-16 | D +49.1 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| CA-17 | D +38.9 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| CA-18 | D +26.9 | 99.6% D | Safe D |
| CA-19 | D +37.5 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| CA-20 | R +21.7 | 98.5% R | Safe R |
| CA-21 | D +7.4 | 82.5% D | Likely D |
| CA-22 | R +1.0 | 52.7% R | Leans R |
| CA-23 | R +11.0 | 91.7% R | Likely R |
| CA-24 | D +27.8 | 99.5% D | Safe D |
| CA-25 | D +11.1 | 90.3% D | Likely D |
| CA-26 | D +18.8 | 97.9% D | Likely D |
| CA-27 | D +11.7 | 92.2% D | Likely D |
| CA-28 | D +27.8 | 99.5% D | Safe D |
| CA-29 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| CA-30 | D +36.6 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| CA-31 | D +11.7 | 91.8% D | Likely D |
| CA-32 | D +25.5 | 99.5% D | Safe D |
| CA-33 | D +11.5 | 91.8% D | Likely D |
| CA-34 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| CA-35 | D +8.4 | 85.3% D | Likely D |
| CA-36 | D +40.1 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| CA-37 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| CA-38 | D +16.1 | 96.5% D | Likely D |
| CA-39 | D +10.6 | 90.3% D | Likely D |
| CA-40 | -- | 100% R | Safe R |
| CA-41 | D +14.1 | 95.1% D | Likely D |
| CA-42 | D +14.3 | 95.3% D | Likely D |
| CA-43 | D +46.0 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| CA-44 | D +35.4 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| CA-45 | D +5.2 | 75.4% D | Leans D |
| CA-46 | D +17.0 | 97.3% D | Likely D |
| CA-47 | D +12.8 | 93.6% D | Likely D |
| CA-48 | D +8.5 | 84.8% D | Likely D |
| CA-49 | D +16.1 | 96.5% D | Likely D |
| CA-50 | D +22.0 | 98.8% D | Safe D |
| CA-51 | D +22.3 | 98.9% D | Safe D |
| CA-52 | D +19.2 | 98.2% D | Safe D |
| CO-01 | D +56.5 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| CO-02 | D +45.8 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| CO-03 | D +1.5 | 56.4% D | Leans D |
| CO-04 | R +5.9 | 71.3% R | Leans R |
| CO-05 | D +1.9 | 58.3% D | Leans D |
| CO-06 | D +26.5 | 99.3% D | Safe D |
| CO-07 | D +23.6 | 98.9% D | Safe D |
| CO-08 | D +5.6 | 75.8% D | Leans D |
| CT-01 | D +25.8 | 99.4% D | Safe D |
| CT-02 | D +19.3 | 97.3% D | Likely D |
| CT-03 | D +19.8 | 98.2% D | Safe D |
| CT-04 | D +25.6 | 99.4% D | Safe D |
| CT-05 | D +10.5 | 89.3% D | Likely D |
| DE-AL | D +20.9 | 98.5% D | Safe D |
| FL-01 | R +24.8 | 98.7% R | Safe R |
| FL-02 | R +8.3 | 86.0% R | Likely R |
| FL-03 | R +13.2 | 94.6% R | Likely R |
| FL-04 | R +3.5 | 66.9% R | Leans R |
| FL-05 | R +12.6 | 93.8% R | Likely R |
| FL-06 | R +19.8 | 98.1% R | Safe R |
| FL-07 | R +2.9 | 64.4% R | Leans R |
| FL-08 | R +7.3 | 82.8% R | Likely R |
| FL-09 | R +10.5 | 90.6% R | Likely R |
| FL-10 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| FL-11 | R +6.1 | 78.7% R | Leans R |
| FL-12 | R +8.4 | 85.7% R | Likely R |
| FL-13 | R +3.2 | 66.1% R | Leans R |
| FL-14 | R +1.3 | 55.7% R | Leans R |
| FL-15 | R +12.3 | 93.5% R | Likely R |
| FL-16 | R +4.1 | 70.3% R | Leans R |
| FL-17 | R +14.7 | 96.0% R | Likely R |
| FL-18 | R +9.8 | 89.2% R | Likely R |
| FL-19 | R +19.9 | 98.1% R | Safe R |
| FL-20 | D +35.5 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| FL-21 | R +10.4 | 90.0% R | Likely R |
| FL-22 | R +0.7 | 52.9% R | Leans R |
| FL-23 | D +15.7 | 96.4% D | Likely D |
| FL-24 | D +40.4 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| FL-25 | R +0.8 | 52.5% R | Leans R |
| FL-26 | R +23.0 | 96.6% R | Likely R |
| FL-27 | R +14.9 | 93.4% R | Likely R |
| FL-28 | R +30.5 | 98.6% R | Safe R |
| GA-01 | R +6.2 | 79.2% R | Leans R |
| GA-02 | D +14.8 | 94.9% D | Likely D |
| GA-03 | R +18.5 | 97.5% R | Likely R |
| GA-04 | D +53.8 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| GA-05 | D +71.9 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| GA-06 | D +53.3 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| GA-07 | R +12.4 | 93.5% R | Likely R |
| GA-08 | R +21.5 | 98.5% R | Safe R |
| GA-09 | R +23.0 | 98.7% R | Safe R |
| GA-10 | R +11.1 | 91.6% R | Likely R |
| GA-11 | R +13.5 | 94.7% R | Likely R |
| GA-12 | R +5.5 | 76.5% R | Leans R |
| GA-13 | D +48.7 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| GA-14 | R +23.4 | 95.8% R | Likely R |
| HI-01 | D +36.7 | 99.7% D | Safe D |
| HI-02 | D +27.0 | 99.4% D | Safe D |
| IA-01 | D +1.5 | 58.3% D | Leans D |
| IA-02 | R +0.4 | 51.4% R | Leans R |
| IA-03 | D +4.5 | 71.6% D | Leans D |
| IA-04 | R +21.0 | 98.4% R | Safe R |
| ID-01 | R +34.1 | 99.6% R | Safe R |
| ID-02 | R +16.9 | 97.1% R | Likely R |
| IL-01 | D +31.5 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| IL-02 | D +35.2 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| IL-03 | D +32.4 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| IL-04 | D +27.6 | 99.7% D | Safe D |
| IL-05 | D +40.9 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| IL-06 | D +11.4 | 90.5% D | Likely D |
| IL-07 | D +62.3 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| IL-08 | D +11.4 | 91.0% D | Likely D |
| IL-09 | D +38.4 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| IL-10 | D +26.3 | 99.4% D | Safe D |
| IL-11 | D +16.9 | 96.9% D | Likely D |
| IL-12 | R +32.5 | 99.6% R | Safe R |
| IL-13 | D +19.1 | 97.5% D | Likely D |
| IL-14 | D +11.4 | 90.6% D | Likely D |
| IL-15 | R +27.8 | 99.3% R | Safe R |
| IL-16 | R +14.0 | 95.3% R | Likely R |
| IL-17 | D +11.1 | 90.0% D | Likely D |
| IN-01 | D +6.6 | 79.0% D | Leans D |
| IN-02 | R +17.1 | 97.2% R | Likely R |
| IN-03 | R +20.4 | 98.2% R | Safe R |
| IN-04 | R +19.0 | 97.8% R | Likely R |
| IN-05 | R +6.6 | 80.0% R | Leans R |
| IN-06 | R +20.9 | 98.1% R | Safe R |
| IN-07 | D +44.2 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| IN-08 | R +26.0 | 99.2% R | Safe R |
| IN-09 | R +19.3 | 97.9% R | Likely R |
| KS-01 | R +21.1 | 98.4% R | Safe R |
| KS-02 | R +9.8 | 89.3% R | Likely R |
| KS-03 | D +17.7 | 96.2% D | Likely D |
| KS-04 | R +13.4 | 94.7% R | Likely R |
| KY-01 | R +35.9 | 99.7% R | Safe R |
| KY-02 | R +30.7 | 99.5% R | Safe R |
| KY-03 | D +26.6 | 99.3% D | Safe D |
| KY-04 | R +24.7 | 99.0% R | Safe R |
| KY-05 | R +49.9 | >99.9% R | Safe R |
| KY-06 | R +5.4 | 76.2% R | Leans R |
| LA-01 | R +27.2 | 99.3% R | Safe R |
| LA-02 | D +53.2 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| LA-03 | R +28.0 | 99.4% R | Safe R |
| LA-04 | R +23.5 | 98.8% R | Safe R |
| LA-05 | R +23.4 | 98.8% R | Safe R |
| LA-06 | R +19.8 | 98.1% R | Safe R |
| MA-01 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| MA-02 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| MA-03 | D +25.5 | 99.2% D | Safe D |
| MA-04 | D +22.9 | 99.0% D | Safe D |
| MA-05 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| MA-06 | D +23.8 | 99.1% D | Safe D |
| MA-07 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| MA-08 | D +35.3 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| MA-09 | D +17.6 | 97.1% D | Likely D |
| MD-01 | R +6.4 | 78.3% R | Leans R |
| MD-02 | D +25.9 | 99.3% D | Safe D |
| MD-03 | D +30.8 | 99.6% D | Safe D |
| MD-04 | D +72.9 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| MD-05 | D +35.4 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| MD-06 | D +13.5 | 93.3% D | Likely D |
| MD-07 | D +61.8 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| MD-08 | D +57.8 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| ME-01 | D +29.1 | 99.5% D | Safe D |
| ME-02 | D +0.4 | 53.3% D | Leans D |
| MI-01 | R +10.7 | 90.7% R | Likely R |
| MI-02 | R +19.6 | 98.0% R | Safe R |
| MI-03 | D +18.0 | 96.7% D | Likely D |
| MI-04 | D +2.7 | 65.9% D | Leans D |
| MI-05 | R +17.3 | 97.3% R | Likely R |
| MI-06 | D +30.4 | 99.6% D | Safe D |
| MI-07 | D +8.0 | 82.4% D | Likely D |
| MI-08 | D +7.6 | 81.2% D | Likely D |
| MI-09 | R +21.5 | 98.5% R | Safe R |
| MI-10 | D +2.3 | 63.6% D | Leans D |
| MI-11 | D +19.5 | 98.2% D | Safe D |
| MI-12 | D +39.6 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| MI-13 | D +42.5 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| MN-01 | R +2.1 | 60.5% R | Leans R |
| MN-02 | D +10.5 | 89.4% D | Likely D |
| MN-03 | D +27.6 | 99.4% D | Safe D |
| MN-04 | D +39.8 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| MN-05 | D +60.2 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| MN-06 | R +9.9 | 89.7% R | Likely R |
| MN-07 | R +26.3 | 99.2% R | Safe R |
| MN-08 | R +4.5 | 72.3% R | Leans R |
| MO-01 | D +59.4 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| MO-02 | D +2.1 | 60.6% D | Leans D |
| MO-03 | R +15.6 | 95.9% R | Likely R |
| MO-04 | R +30.9 | 99.5% R | Safe R |
| MO-05 | D +28.3 | 99.5% D | Safe D |
| MO-06 | R +27.7 | 99.3% R | Safe R |
| MO-07 | R +30.7 | 99.5% R | Safe R |
| MO-08 | R +41.3 | 99.8% R | Safe R |
| MS-01 | R +27.9 | 99.4% R | Safe R |
| MS-02 | D +23.4 | 99.1% D | Safe D |
| MS-03 | R +22.3 | 98.9% R | Safe R |
| MS-04 | R +32.4 | 99.6% R | Safe R |
| MT-01 | R +1.9 | 59.6% R | Leans R |
| MT-02 | R +19.6 | 98.1% R | Safe R |
| NC-01 | R +1.7 | 58.3% R | Leans R |
| NC-02 | D +37.9 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| NC-03 | R +4.3 | 71.2% R | Leans R |
| NC-04 | D +48.0 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| NC-05 | R +8.8 | 87.1% R | Likely R |
| NC-06 | R +7.5 | 83.7% R | Likely R |
| NC-07 | R +4.4 | 71.8% R | Leans R |
| NC-08 | R +9.9 | 89.7% R | Likely R |
| NC-09 | R +6.5 | 80.4% R | Likely R |
| NC-10 | R +7.7 | 84.1% R | Likely R |
| NC-11 | D +0.0 | 51.1% D | Leans D |
| NC-12 | D +48.0 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| NC-13 | R +7.0 | 82.0% R | Likely R |
| NC-14 | R +5.3 | 75.8% R | Leans R |
| ND-AL | R +26.4 | 99.2% R | Safe R |
| NE-01 | R +3.3 | 66.5% R | Leans R |
| NE-02 | D +9.5 | 87.3% D | Likely D |
| NE-03 | R +42.8 | 99.8% R | Safe R |
| NH-01 | D +7.4 | 81.7% D | Likely D |
| NH-02 | D +10.9 | 89.3% D | Likely D |
| NJ-01 | D +23.3 | 99.0% D | Safe D |
| NJ-02 | R +5.1 | 73.9% R | Leans R |
| NJ-03 | D +12.7 | 93.1% D | Likely D |
| NJ-04 | R +21.7 | 98.7% R | Safe R |
| NJ-05 | D +9.3 | 85.9% D | Likely D |
| NJ-06 | D +11.4 | 90.9% D | Likely D |
| NJ-07 | D +5.5 | 75.6% D | Leans D |
| NJ-08 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| NJ-09 | D +5.2 | 74.7% D | Leans D |
| NJ-10 | D +47.5 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| NJ-11 | D +12.9 | 93.4% D | Likely D |
| NJ-12 | D +26.7 | 99.4% D | Safe D |
| NM-01 | D +18.9 | 97.8% D | Likely D |
| NM-02 | D +5.0 | 74.2% D | Leans D |
| NM-03 | D +14.0 | 93.6% D | Likely D |
| NV-01 | D +8.3 | 83.9% D | Likely D |
| NV-02 | R +4.3 | 71.5% R | Leans R |
| NV-03 | D +5.7 | 76.1% D | Leans D |
| NV-04 | D +8.2 | 83.8% D | Likely D |
| NY-01 | R +1.1 | 54.6% R | Leans R |
| NY-02 | R +7.8 | 83.4% R | Likely R |
| NY-03 | D +3.7 | 69.7% D | Leans D |
| NY-04 | D +4.7 | 74.3% D | Leans D |
| NY-05 | D +40.4 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| NY-06 | D +11.2 | 90.7% D | Likely D |
| NY-07 | D +47.0 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| NY-08 | D +44.0 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| NY-09 | D +40.8 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| NY-10 | D +60.6 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| NY-11 | R +18.6 | 98.0% R | Likely R |
| NY-12 | D +63.5 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| NY-13 | D +59.5 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| NY-14 | D +30.3 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| NY-15 | D +47.9 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| NY-16 | D +37.2 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| NY-17 | D +4.2 | 72.2% D | Leans D |
| NY-18 | D +10.8 | 89.2% D | Likely D |
| NY-19 | D +7.9 | 82.8% D | Likely D |
| NY-20 | D +19.6 | 98.1% D | Safe D |
| NY-21 | R +10.9 | 91.4% R | Likely R |
| NY-22 | D +13.4 | 93.6% D | Likely D |
| NY-23 | R +13.5 | 94.9% R | Likely R |
| NY-24 | R +15.2 | 96.3% R | Likely R |
| NY-25 | D +22.3 | 98.9% D | Safe D |
| NY-26 | D +26.8 | 99.3% D | Safe D |
| OH-01 | D +6.5 | 78.1% D | Leans D |
| OH-02 | R +31.5 | 99.5% R | Safe R |
| OH-03 | D +43.6 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| OH-04 | R +30.5 | 99.5% R | Safe R |
| OH-05 | R +15.2 | 96.2% R | Likely R |
| OH-06 | R +26.4 | 99.3% R | Safe R |
| OH-07 | R +1.1 | 55.3% R | Leans R |
| OH-08 | R +5.9 | 77.9% R | Leans R |
| OH-09 | D +0.5 | 52.3% D | Leans D |
| OH-10 | R +3.1 | 63.6% R | Leans R |
| OH-11 | D +56.4 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| OH-12 | R +21.1 | 98.5% R | Safe R |
| OH-13 | D +11.0 | 89.5% D | Likely D |
| OH-14 | R +12.7 | 94.0% R | Likely R |
| OH-15 | R +0.6 | 52.2% R | Leans R |
| OK-01 | R +11.8 | 92.7% R | Likely R |
| OK-02 | R +42.4 | 99.8% R | Safe R |
| OK-03 | R +33.6 | 99.6% R | Safe R |
| OK-04 | R +22.2 | 98.6% R | Safe R |
| OK-05 | R +7.4 | 82.3% R | Likely R |
| OR-01 | D +42.5 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| OR-02 | R +17.9 | 97.6% R | Likely R |
| OR-03 | D +47.3 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| OR-04 | D +16.5 | 96.7% D | Likely D |
| OR-05 | D +13.2 | 93.6% D | Likely D |
| OR-06 | D +14.8 | 95.5% D | Likely D |
| PA-01 | D +3.3 | 68.4% D | Leans D |
| PA-02 | D +40.0 | 99.9% D | Safe D |
| PA-03 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| PA-04 | D +23.2 | 98.9% D | Safe D |
| PA-05 | D +32.8 | 99.7% D | Safe D |
| PA-06 | D +18.7 | 97.6% D | Likely D |
| PA-07 | D +5.1 | 73.9% D | Leans D |
| PA-08 | D +2.1 | 59.5% D | Leans D |
| PA-09 | R +26.4 | 99.2% R | Safe R |
| PA-10 | D +5.2 | 72.4% D | Leans D |
| PA-11 | R +11.0 | 91.2% R | Likely R |
| PA-12 | D +21.3 | 98.7% D | Safe D |
| PA-13 | R +34.1 | 99.6% R | Safe R |
| PA-14 | R +22.8 | 98.7% R | Safe R |
| PA-15 | R +27.1 | 99.2% R | Safe R |
| PA-16 | R +12.4 | 93.3% R | Likely R |
| PA-17 | D +14.2 | 93.9% D | Likely D |
| RI-01 | D +28.6 | 99.5% D | Safe D |
| RI-02 | D +13.2 | 93.2% D | Likely D |
| SC-01 | R +3.4 | 67.0% R | Leans R |
| SC-02 | R +4.7 | 72.9% R | Leans R |
| SC-03 | R +34.0 | 99.7% R | Safe R |
| SC-04 | R +13.2 | 94.3% R | Likely R |
| SC-05 | R +13.0 | 94.2% R | Likely R |
| SC-06 | D +24.0 | 99.2% D | Safe D |
| SC-07 | R +18.5 | 97.9% R | Likely R |
| SD-AL | R +18.9 | 97.8% R | Likely R |
| TN-01 | R +44.7 | 99.9% R | Safe R |
| TN-02 | R +23.4 | 98.8% R | Safe R |
| TN-03 | R +25.0 | 99.0% R | Safe R |
| TN-04 | R +14.2 | 95.4% R | Likely R |
| TN-05 | R +13.2 | 94.5% R | Likely R |
| TN-06 | R +16.5 | 96.8% R | Likely R |
| TN-07 | R +12.6 | 93.8% R | Likely R |
| TN-08 | R +12.2 | 93.4% R | Likely R |
| TN-09 | R +11.4 | 92.2% R | Likely R |
| TX-01 | R +38.3 | 99.8% R | Safe R |
| TX-02 | R +13.0 | 94.2% R | Likely R |
| TX-03 | R +13.6 | 94.8% R | Likely R |
| TX-04 | R +15.3 | 96.3% R | Likely R |
| TX-05 | R +11.7 | 92.6% R | Likely R |
| TX-06 | R +12.9 | 94.0% R | Likely R |
| TX-07 | D +26.0 | 99.4% D | Safe D |
| TX-08 | R +18.5 | 97.8% R | Likely R |
| TX-09 | R +10.1 | 90.0% R | Likely R |
| TX-10 | R +12.8 | 94.0% R | Likely R |
| TX-11 | R +23.7 | 98.9% R | Safe R |
| TX-12 | R +14.1 | 95.2% R | Likely R |
| TX-13 | R +34.0 | 99.6% R | Safe R |
| TX-14 | R +16.3 | 97.0% R | Likely R |
| TX-15 | R +12.5 | 93.2% R | Likely R |
| TX-16 | D +16.0 | 96.5% D | Likely D |
| TX-17 | R +12.8 | 94.1% R | Likely R |
| TX-18 | D +55.5 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| TX-19 | R +39.4 | 99.8% R | Safe R |
| TX-20 | D +36.1 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| TX-21 | R +11.4 | 91.9% R | Likely R |
| TX-22 | R +12.6 | 93.9% R | Likely R |
| TX-23 | R +5.2 | 75.3% R | Leans R |
| TX-24 | R +6.1 | 78.6% R | Leans R |
| TX-25 | R +14.2 | 95.3% R | Likely R |
| TX-26 | R +13.0 | 93.3% R | Likely R |
| TX-27 | R +13.3 | 94.7% R | Likely R |
| TX-28 | R +0.7 | 52.9% R | Leans R |
| TX-29 | D +31.8 | 99.7% D | Safe D |
| TX-30 | D +48.2 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| TX-31 | R +11.6 | 92.4% R | Likely R |
| TX-32 | R +8.1 | 85.4% R | Likely R |
| TX-33 | D +34.3 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| TX-34 | R +7.5 | 80.6% R | Likely R |
| TX-35 | R +0.9 | 53.8% R | Leans R |
| TX-36 | R +16.2 | 96.9% R | Likely R |
| TX-37 | D +57.1 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| TX-38 | R +10.7 | 90.8% R | Likely R |
| UT-01 | D +26.5 | 99.4% D | Safe D |
| UT-02 | R +22.6 | 99.0% R | Safe R |
| UT-03 | R +32.1 | 99.6% R | Safe R |
| UT-04 | R +26.0 | 99.4% R | Safe R |
| VA-01 | D +3.6 | 69.2% D | Leans D |
| VA-02 | D +6.7 | 79.0% D | Leans D |
| VA-03 | D +39.3 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| VA-04 | D +37.0 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| VA-05 | R +3.2 | 66.1% R | Leans R |
| VA-06 | R +14.2 | 95.4% R | Likely R |
| VA-07 | D +8.8 | 85.3% D | Likely D |
| VA-08 | D +50.0 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| VA-09 | R +32.5 | 99.6% R | Safe R |
| VA-10 | D +11.8 | 92.0% D | Likely D |
| VA-11 | D +36.3 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| VT-AL | D +37.3 | 99.8% D | Safe D |
| WA-01 | D +32.4 | 99.7% D | Safe D |
| WA-02 | D +30.3 | 99.6% D | Safe D |
| WA-03 | D +9.0 | 84.6% D | Likely D |
| WA-04 | R +10.9 | 91.5% R | Likely R |
| WA-05 | R +2.8 | 63.3% R | Leans R |
| WA-06 | D +23.8 | 99.1% D | Safe D |
| WA-07 | D +74.2 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| WA-08 | D +13.7 | 93.5% D | Likely D |
| WA-09 | D +45.3 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| WA-10 | D +23.4 | 99.0% D | Safe D |
| WI-01 | D +2.9 | 66.9% D | Leans D |
| WI-02 | -- | 100% D | Safe D |
| WI-03 | D +2.5 | 62.5% D | Leans D |
| WI-04 | D +54.6 | >99.9% D | Safe D |
| WI-05 | R +12.3 | 93.5% R | Likely R |
| WI-06 | R +8.0 | 85.0% R | Likely R |
| WI-07 | R +12.7 | 93.9% R | Likely R |
| WI-08 | R +6.0 | 78.0% R | Leans R |
| WV-01 | R +31.3 | 99.5% R | Safe R |
| WV-02 | R +28.4 | 99.3% R | Safe R |
| WY-AL | R +34.4 | 99.7% R | Safe R |
Find a bug or inconsistency? Feel free to shoot me an email!